Table 3

Likelihood to follow health messaging rules

Message typeStimuli and variations3+ dosesOffered but not receivedVaccine sceptics
Personal responsibility and self-efficacy (modality)(a) You should wear a face covering […]80%66%56%
(b) You must wear a face covering […]73%33%35%
Personal responsibility and self-efficacy (exclusivity)(a) Stopping the spread starts with you.84%57%46%
(b) Stopping the spread starts with all of us.74%30%32%
Threat and fear appeals: modality(a) If you go out, you can spread it, people will die.80%62%50%
(b) If you go out, you can spread it, people could die.74%35%34%
Threat and fear appeals: proximity(a) Stay at home. For your family. For your friends.80%50%41%
(b) Stay at home. For your neighbours. For our NHS.75%26%31%
Threat and fear appeals: social consequences(a) […] Don’t put your family and friends in danger.78%50%49%
(b) […] Don’t put yourself in danger.77%43%37%
Moralising messages(a) […] You should wear a face covering […]76%48%46%
(b) […] You must wear a face covering […]80%37%35%
Framing (positive vs negative) (a) You should only be going shopping for essentials […] 80%63%45%
(b) You should not be going shopping except for essentials […]74%39%39%
Grammatical mood (declarative vs imperative)(a) […] Staying at home saves lives.79%38%41%
(b) […] Stay at home save lives.73%29%42%
  • ‘How likely or unlikely would you be to follow the guidance in this public health message if such measures were re-introduced as a result of a new COVID-19 variant?’ Reported figures are those who selected ‘extremely likely’, ‘very likely’ or ‘fairly likely’ (NET likely). Base: all adults aged 16–75 years in Great Britain (1089) among whom have received 3+ COVID-19 vaccine doses (sample A: 371, sample B: 390), or have been offered but not received the COVID-19 vaccine (sample A: 37, sample B: 37), or who have been defined as ‘vaccine sceptics’ (sample A: 46, sample B: 50). Survey taken from 1 to 3 March 2022.

  • NHS, National Health Service.